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AI IPO forecasts · Bureau file
Prediction-market prices for the IPOs of five AI companies.
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This is the Bureau file. Open the original AI IPO forecasts site.
Filegokhanturhan.com/ai-ipo/ · live-tool · dashboard
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Addressgokhanturhan.com/ai-ipo/
Originalavalidurl.github.io/ai-ipo/
Statuslive-tool
Kinddashboard
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AI IPO forecastsgokhanturhan.com/ai-ipo/
Five large private AI companies. Each number is one venue’s own price or median, for the question printed under it.
Prices as retrieved 2026-11-09 (12:25 UTC). The live board refreshed daily.
| Company | Polymarket | Kalshi | Manifold | Metaculus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI | 45.5% by Jun 30, 2027 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30, 2027? · 1.6% by Dec 31, 2026 | 48.0% before Jun 1, 2027 Chance the company has officially announced an IPO before that date. · Before Jun 1, 2027 · 1.5% before Jan 1, 2027 | June 2027 or later When will OpenAI hold its IPO? · 57.0% of the probability sits on June 2027 or later. | No open market No open question asking when this company IPOs. |
| Anthropic | 68.0% by Nov 20, 2026 Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · 87.2% by Dec 31, 2026 | 76.5% before Dec 1, 2026 Chance the company has officially announced an IPO before that date. · Before Dec 1, 2026 · 88.5% before Jan 1, 2027 | 2026 Q4 When will Anthropic IPO? · 86.5% of the probability sits on 2026 Q4. | No open market No open question asking when this company IPOs. |
| xAI | No open market No Polymarket event titled as this company's IPO. | No open market No open series for an announced IPO. | No open market No standalone IPO market. | No open market No open question asking when this company IPOs. |
| Databricks | No clean price Will Databricks not IPO by December 31, 2027? · The buckets on this event sum to 2.96, so the printed yes-price is not a usable probability. | No open market No open series for an announced IPO. | 60.5% Will Databricks IPO before 2028? | No open market No open question asking when this company IPOs. |
| Perplexity | 54.5% by Dec 31, 2027 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Taken from the complement of that bucket. The event's buckets sum to about 1. | 58.0% before Jan 1, 2029 Chance the company has officially announced an IPO before that date. · Before Jan 1, 2029 | No open market No standalone IPO market. | No open market No open question asking when this company IPOs. |